Jasusi @Chahali

#Updates re Tanzania shooting incident. There are about 4 theories so far. I'll call them 👉 Vengeance theory 👉 Crazy Guy theory 👉 Lone wolf theory 👉 Justification theory https://t.co/TpbGYcRzCj

Jasusi @Chahali

In no particular order, "Vengeance theory" is per perhaps most prominent narrative on +255 social media that "the police had robbed the would-be assailant" (rumoured to some valuable gems), guy then embarked on vengeance attacks. Explains why it looks like "targeted attack."

Jasusi @Chahali

"Crazy Guy theory" is that the poor guy had some mental breakdown, for whatever reasons, and went on a shooting spree. Weakness of the theory is mad guys usually kill indiscriminately, which is in utter contrast with the incident which was almost certainly targeted attack

Jasusi @Chahali

"Lone Wolf theory," is "most pro" of 4 theories, enjoys support of IGP Sirro "we've our troops in Moz" narrative. Lone wolf = one terrorist acting on own. If true, was he really alone? Also, why "French Embassy"? As budding terrorism analyst pro, I'm paying more attention to this

Jasusi @Chahali

Last but not least, "Justification Theory" relates w/ TERRORISM charges facing main opposition @ChademaTz chairman @freemanmbowetz. That whole thing's a set-up for sake of justifying Mbowe's (trumped up?) charges. Unfortunately @tanpol have a reputation in "making up tall tales"