Dhana Nne Kuhusu Tukio La Mtu Aliyeua Polisi Watatu Na Mlinzi Dar

Evarist Chahali

Aug 26, 2021

Jasusi @Chahali

#Updates re Tanzania shooting incident. There are about 4 theories so far. I'll call them 👉 Vengeance theory 👉 Crazy Guy theory 👉 Lone wolf theory 👉 Justification theory

Tafsiri

Jasusi @Chahali

#Mrejesho kuhusu tukio la jana ambapo mtu mmoja aliwaua polisi watatu na mlinzi mmoja karibu na uballozi wa Ufaransa jijini Dar, kabla ya yeye kuuawa. Kuna dhana kuu nne, ambazo ninaziita 👉Dhana ya kisasi 👉Dhana na mwendawazimu 👉Dhana na "gendaeka" 👉Dhana ya kuhalalisha

Jasusi @Chahali

#Updates re Tanzania shooting incident. There are about 4 theories so far. I'll call them 👉 Vengeance theory 👉 Crazy Guy theory 👉 Lone wolf theory 👉 Justification theory https://t.co/TpbGYcRzCj

Jasusi @Chahali

In no particular order, "Vengeance theory" is per perhaps most prominent narrative on +255 social media that "the police had robbed the would-be assailant" (rumoured to some valuable gems), guy then embarked on vengeance attacks. Explains why it looks like "targeted attack."

Tafsiri

Jasusi @Chahali

Bila kujali mpangilio, "dhana ya kisasi" inahusu maelezo yaliyotawala zaidi kwenye mitandao ya kijamii kuwa mhusika aliporwa madini na polisi, na akaamua kulipa kisasi. Huenda inaeleza kwanini aliwalenga polisi tu na si raia wa kawaida

Jasusi @Chahali

In no particular order, "Vengeance theory" is per perhaps most prominent narrative on +255 social media that "the police had robbed the would-be assailant" (rumoured to some valuable gems), guy then embarked on vengeance attacks. Explains why it looks like "targeted attack."

Jasusi @Chahali

"Crazy Guy theory" is that the poor guy had some mental breakdown, for whatever reasons, and went on a shooting spree. Weakness of the theory is mad guys usually kill indiscriminately, which is in utter contrast with the incident which was almost certainly targeted attack

Tafsiri

Jasusi @Chahali

"Dhana ya mwendawazimu" ni kwamba mhusika alikuwa na matatizo ya akili, na akaamua kufanya mauaji hayo. Hata hivyo, udhaifu wa dhana hii ni kwamba kama kweli alikuwa na matatizo ya akili, kwanini awalenge polisi tu na sio watu wengine?

Jasusi @Chahali

"Crazy Guy theory" is that the poor guy had some mental breakdown, for whatever reasons, and went on a shooting spree. Weakness of the theory is mad guys usually kill indiscriminately, which is in utter contrast with the incident which was almost certainly targeted attack

Jasusi @Chahali

"Lone Wolf theory," is "most pro" of 4 theories, enjoys support of IGP Sirro "we've our troops in Moz" narrative. Lone wolf = one terrorist acting on own. If true, was he really alone? Also, why "French Embassy"? As budding terrorism analyst pro, I'm paying more attention to this

Tafsiri

Jasusi @Chahali

"Dhana ya gendaeka" (gendaeka = simba dume anaetembea peke yake) ni ya kitaalamu zaidi , na ina sapoti ya kauli ya IGP Sirro kuwa "tuna watu wetu (JWTZ) huko Msumbiji. Kama ni kweli, je alikuwa pekee? Pia kwanini Ubalozi wa Ufaransa? Kama mchambuzi kinda wa ugaidi, najikita hapa

Jasusi @Chahali

"Lone Wolf theory," is "most pro" of 4 theories, enjoys support of IGP Sirro "we've our troops in Moz" narrative. Lone wolf = one terrorist acting on own. If true, was he really alone? Also, why "French Embassy"? As budding terrorism analyst pro, I'm paying more attention to this

Jasusi @Chahali

Last but not least, "Justification Theory" relates w/ TERRORISM charges facing main opposition @ChademaTz chairman @freemanmbowetz. That whole thing's a set-up for sake of justifying Mbowe's (trumped up?) charges. Unfortunately @tanpol have a reputation in "making up tall tales"

Jasusi @Chahali

Mwisho ni "dhana ya kuhalalisha" inayohusiana na mashraka ya ugaidi dhidi ya m/kiti wa @ChademaTz Mh @freemanmbowetz kwamba suala zima limetengenezwa kuhalalisha mashtaka hayo. Kwa bahati mbaya, jeshi la polisi (@tanpol) lina rekodi mbaya ya kubambikia watu kesi/kuzua matukio

Jasusi @Chahali

Last but not least, "Justification Theory" relates w/ TERRORISM charges facing main opposition @ChademaTz chairman @freemanmbowetz. That whole thing's a set-up for sake of justifying Mbowe's (trumped up?) charges. Unfortunately @tanpol have a reputation in "making up tall tales"

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